AGO - Assured Guaranty Ltd Stock Price, Fair Value and News

79.06USD-0.96 (-1.20%)Market Closed

Market Summary

USD79.06-0.96

Market Closed

-1.20%

AGO Alerts

Big fall in Revenue (Y/Y)

Big jump in Earnings (Y/Y)

AGO Stock Price

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AGO RSI Chart

AGO Valuation

Market Cap

4.4B

Price/Earnings (Trailing)

5.69

Price/Sales (Trailing)

3.26

EV/EBITDA

7.78

Price/Free Cashflow

58.09

AGO Price/Sales (Trailing)

AGO Profitability

EBT Margin

50.04%

Return on Equity

13.48%

Return on Assets

6.3%

Free Cashflow Yield

1.72%

AGO Fundamentals

AGO Revenue

Revenue (TTM)

1.3B

Rev. Growth (Yr)

-13.43%

Rev. Growth (Qtr)

-25.08%

AGO Earnings

Earnings (TTM)

766.0M

Earnings Growth (Yr)

33.33%

Earnings Growth (Qtr)

-71.28%

Breaking Down AGO Revenue

52 Week Range

51.0580.05

(Low)(High)

Last 7 days

3.3%

Last 30 days

-2.9%

Last 90 days

-2.7%

Trailing 12 Months

51.9%

How does AGO drawdown profile look like?

AGO Financial Health

Debt/Equity

0.3

Debt/Cashflow

0.04

AGO Investor Care

Dividend Yield

1.44%

Dividend/Share (TTM)

1.15

Buy Backs (1Y)

8.25%

Diluted EPS (TTM)

12.86

Historical Charts for Stock Metrics

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Net sales

Year	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
2024	1.3B	0	0	0
2023	706.0M	976.0M	1.3B	1.4B
2022	971.0M	865.0M	694.0M	723.0M
2021	1.2B	1.0B	964.0M	848.0M
2020	864.0M	970.0M	1.0B	1.1B
2019	903.0M	949.0M	880.0M	963.0M
2018	1.5B	1.4B	1.1B	1.0B
2017	2.0B	1.9B	1.9B	1.7B
2016	2.1B	1.8B	2.0B	1.7B
2015	2.2B	2.5B	2.4B	2.2B
2014	1.8B	1.7B	1.5B	2.0B
2013	1.6B	1.3B	1.6B	1.8B
2012	1.7B	2.4B	1.4B	1.5B
2011	1.4B	1.6B	1.7B	1.8B
2010	1.4B	1.9B	1.9B	1.3B
2009	0	674.5M	795.8M	917.2M
2008	0	0	0	553.2M

Get all data in R, Python etc through our Historical Stock Data APIs

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Stocks Marked 'Very Cheap' by Grufity's Fair Value Model Have Outperformed Russell 2000 Index

Small Caps and Mid Caps are mostly overlooked by investors as all the focus goes to Magnificent 7. These stocks that are not part of the beauty contest require a deeper look. However, all large cap stocks were once small caps. Grufity's Fair Value model opens up this unverse as it separates high-performing, rewarding stocks from low-performing risky stocks. <b>Russell 2000 stocks that were marked 'Very Cheap' by the model doubled in three years while the index was flat.</b>

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Very Cheap Stocks: $21,859
Russell 2000 Index: $10,334
Very Expensive Stocks: $8,224

Russell 2000 stocks considered 'Very Cheap' by the model greatly outperformed Russell 2000 index and the 'Very Expensive' bucket over past three years.

Russell 2000 Index

Very Expensive Stocks

Very Cheap Stocks

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Tracking the Latest Insider Buys and Sells of Assured Guaranty Ltd

Filter Transactions

Datesorted ascending	Name	Buy/Sell	$ Value	Avg. Price	# Shares	Title
May 09, 2024	bieling laura	sold	-311,807	79.93	-3,901	chief accounting officer
May 09, 2024	bailenson robert	sold	-2,398,210	79.9405	-30,000	chief operating officer
May 02, 2024	omura yukiko	acquired	-	-	1,725	-
May 02, 2024	howard bonnie l.	acquired	-	-	1,725	-
May 02, 2024	kreczko alan j	acquired	-	-	3,866	-
May 02, 2024	jones thomas w	acquired	-	-	1,725	-
May 02, 2024	borges francisco l	acquired	-	-	5,829	-
May 02, 2024	shea courtney c.	acquired	-	-	1,725	-
May 02, 2024	batten mark	acquired	-	-	2,022	-
May 02, 2024	radtke lorin	acquired	-	-	1,725	-

Which funds bought or sold AGO recently?

View All Details

Datesorted ascending	Fund Name	Type	% Chg	$ Change	$ Held	% Portfolio
May 08, 2024	COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS	added	0.08	146,472	1,024,230	0.01%
May 08, 2024	Russell Investments Group, Ltd.	added	63.09	5,146,300	10,854,300	0.02%
May 08, 2024	Bell Investment Advisors, Inc	unchanged	-	360	2,531	-%
May 08, 2024	EVERENCE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC	unchanged	-	99,000	696,000	0.05%
May 08, 2024	Pine Valley Investments Ltd Liability Co	reduced	-	3,738,510	26,267,600	1.76%
May 08, 2024	KBC Group NV	reduced	-14.44	-1,000	107,000	-%
May 08, 2024	US BANCORP \DE\	added	5.12	58,043	315,234	-%
May 08, 2024	STATE BOARD OF ADMINISTRATION OF FLORIDA RETIREMENT SYSTEM	added	6.15	-1,744,570	4,336,640	0.01%
May 07, 2024	SEI INVESTMENTS CO	added	261	2,679,220	3,513,140	-%
May 07, 2024	Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund	reduced	-5.09	260,000	2,708,000	0.04%

Are Funds Buying or Selling AGO?

Are funds buying AGO calls or puts?

Calls

Puts

No. of funds holding Calls - Puts

Net Call Options

No. of funds that own AGO

No. of Funds

Unveiling Assured Guaranty Ltd's Major ShareHolders

Date Filed	Name of Filer	Percent of Class	No. of Shares	Form Type
Feb 14, 2024	putnam investments llc	9.0%	5,159,243	SC 13G/A
Feb 13, 2024	vanguard group inc	11.54%	6,610,151	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2024	dimensional fund advisors lp	7.5%	4,299,943	SC 13G/A
Feb 08, 2024	wellington management group llp	9.00%	5,152,455	SC 13G/A
Jan 23, 2024	blackrock inc.	12.3%	7,048,556	SC 13G/A
Feb 14, 2023	putnam investments llc	9.9%	5,942,511	SC 13G/A
Feb 10, 2023	dimensional fund advisors lp	7.3%	4,365,129	SC 13G/A
Feb 09, 2023	vanguard group inc	11.99%	7,193,642	SC 13G/A
Feb 06, 2023	wellington management group llp	8.99%	5,393,313	SC 13G/A
Jan 26, 2023	blackrock inc.	13.7%	8,197,629	SC 13G/A

Recent SEC filings of Assured Guaranty Ltd

View All Filings

Date Filed	Form Type	Document
May 10, 2024	4	Insider Trading
May 10, 2024	4	Insider Trading
May 09, 2024	144	Notice of Insider Sale Intent
May 09, 2024	144	Notice of Insider Sale Intent
May 08, 2024	10-Q	Quarterly Report
May 07, 2024	8-K	Current Report
May 06, 2024	8-K	Current Report
May 03, 2024	4	Insider Trading
May 03, 2024	4	Insider Trading
May 03, 2024	4	Insider Trading

Peers (Alternatives to Assured Guaranty Ltd)

Name	Mkt Capsorted ascending	Revenue	Price %, 1M	Returns, 1Y	P/E	P/S	Rev 1-Yr	Inc 1-Yr
LARGE-CAP
ARGO	1.1T	1.3B	-3.06%	3129.10%	-5.3K	847.07	-10.27%	-34.69%
AJG	54.1B	10.6B	1.42%	13.93%	49.53	5.09	20.42%	-6.05%
AIG	53.0B	48.4B	5.79%	51.85%	10.98	1.1	-4.15%	-20.63%
TRV	50.2B	42.9B	-1.92%	19.86%	16.01	1.17	13.52%	12.15%
AFL	48.5B	19.3B	2.66%	27.97%	9.07	2.51	3.03%	17.35%
ACGL	37.4B	14.4B	9.22%	29.02%	7.72	2.6	32.92%	143.01%
AFG	11.0B	8.0B	0.12%	13.56%	12.47	1.38	11.14%	7.56%
MID-CAP
UNM	10.0B	12.6B	2.05%	19.37%	7.55	0.79	4.24%	-13.40%
AIZ	9.3B	11.4B	0.24%	38.71%	12.18	0.82	9.81%	217.29%
LNC	5.0B	11.9B	-1.98%	45.16%	3.68	0.42	-33.27%	234.43%
AEL	3.9B	3.2B	-0.20%	45.14%	5.55	1.23	64.05%	-35.60%
SMALL-CAP
BRP	1.9B	1.3B	4.75%	32.07%	-34.12	1.46	18.74%	30.90%
AMSF	907.6M	308.9M	-1.00%	-14.86%	14.71	2.94	3.79%	10.94%
AMBC	829.0M	314.0M	17.41%	25.27%	14.42	2.64	-29.20%	-88.19%
AAME	38.2M	186.8M	-11.37%	-15.00%	-223.11	0.2	-0.56%	-111.21%

Assured Guaranty Ltd News

Latest updates

Assured Guaranty Ltd Earnings Report: Key Takeaways & Analysis

Income Statement (Last 12 Months)

(In Millions)

(*) denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Income Statement (Quarterly)																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1
Revenue	-25.1%	245	327	403	360	283	292	41.00	90.00	300	263	212	196	177	379	268	372	96.00	296	206	266	195
EBITDA Margin	3.1%	0.57*	0.55*	0.49*	0.44*	0.36*	0.32*	0.66*	0.57*	0.66*	0.67*	0.42*	0.47*	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Interest Expenses	0%	23.00	23.00	24.00	22.00	21.00	21.00	20.00	20.00	20.00	20.00	23.00	23.00	21.00	21.00	21.00	21.00	22.00	22.00	22.00	22.00	23.00
Income Taxes	117.5%	31.00	-177	43.00	18.00	23.00	17.00	-27.00	3.00	18.00	50.00	-15.00	23.00	-	25.00	-10.00	34.00	-4.00	2.00	17.00	40.00	4.00
Earnings Before Taxes	-40.6%	120	202	202	144	120	99.00	-22.00	-22.00	93.00	332	5.00	125	15.00	174	79.00	222	-62.00	138	86.00	182	58.00
EBT Margin	2.8%	0.50*	0.49*	0.42*	0.35*	0.25*	0.20*	0.55*	0.47*	0.57*	0.56*	0.33*	0.39*	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Income	-71.3%	108	376	157	125	81.00	94.00	11.00	-47.00	66.00	263	17.00	98.00	11.00	148	86.00	183	-55.00	137	69.00	142	54.00
Net Income Margin	6.6%	0.57*	0.54*	0.34*	0.32*	0.20*	0.17*	0.42*	0.35*	0.46*	0.46*	0.28*	0.34*	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Free Cashflow	-136.5%	-74.00	203	-178	124	312	-631	-54.00	-902	-892	-145	-843	-483	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Balance Sheet

(In Millions)

(*) denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Balance Sheet																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1
Assets	-3.0%	12,168	12,539	11,944	16,852	16,778	16,843	16,660	16,960	17,845	18,208	17,614	17,226	16,018	15,334	14,695	14,780	13,745	14,326	13,367	13,581	13,551
Cash Equivalents	-52.1%	137	286	115	184	130	207	271	263	289	342	240	296	346	298	406	473	221	183	229	194	123
Liabilities	-4.3%	6,486	6,774	6,643	11,397	11,363	11,551	11,486	11,392	11,829	11,708	11,218	10,653	9,525	8,629	8,078	8,271	7,472	7,674	6,715	6,859	6,882
Long Term Debt	0.1%	1,695	1,694	1,693	1,677	1,676	1,675	1,675	1,674	1,673	1,673	1,671	1,720	1,225	1,224	1,223	1,222	1,221	1,235	1,234	1,233	1,232
Shareholder's Equity	-0.5%	5,682	5,713	5,252	5,455	5,415	5,064	5,153	5,547	5,995	6,478	6,375	6,552	6,472	6,684	6,596	6,489	6,265	6,645	6,652	6,722	6,669
Retained Earnings	-0.9%	6,014	6,070	5,815	5,732	5,638	5,577	5,579	5,672	5,878	5,990	5,924	6,056	6,055	6,143	6,143	6,109	6,100	6,295	6,331	6,425	6,406
Additional Paid-In Capital	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Shares Outstanding	-2.0%	55.00	56.00	58.00	59.00	59.00	59.00	61.00	62.00	65.00	68.00	71.00	74.00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Minority Interest	1.9%	53.00	52.00	49.00	179	195	228	224	243	193	186	75.00	49.00	42.00	41.00	47.00	45.00	25.00	6.00	-	-	-
Float	-	-	-	-	3,133	-	-	-	3,342	-	-	-	3,381	-	-	-	1,982	-	-	-	4,084	-

Cashflow (Last 12 Months)

(In Millions)

(*) denotes actual numbers (not divided by Millions)
Cashflow (Quarterly)																					(In Millions)
Description	(%) Q/Q	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4	2022Q3	2022Q2	2022Q1	2021Q4	2021Q3	2021Q2	2021Q1	2020Q4	2020Q3	2020Q2	2020Q1	2019Q4	2019Q3	2019Q2	2019Q1
Cashflow From Operations	-136.5%	-74.00	203	-178	124	312	-631	-54.00	-902	-892	-145	-843	-483	-466	-189	-219	-281	-164	-144	-167	134	-332
Cashflow From Investing	145.6%	253	103	311	-34.00	-94.00	612	70.00	208	850	-146	425	-381	125	-118	173	344	389	99.00	439	139	492
Cashflow From Financing	-138.7%	-327	-137	-200	-37.00	-296	-43.00	-4.00	669	-10.00	394	363	814	389	195	-21.00	189	-180	-6.00	-235	-201	-142
Dividend Payments	18.8%	19.00	16.00	16.00	17.00	18.00	15.00	16.00	16.00	17.00	15.00	16.00	17.00	18.00	16.00	16.00	17.00	20.00	18.00	17.00	19.00	20.00
Buy Backs	95.5%	131	67.00	64.00	24.00	2.00	100	97.00	151	155	191	140	88.00	77.00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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AGO Income Statement

2024-03-31

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited) - USD ($) $ in Millions	3 Months Ended
	Mar. 31, 2024	Mar. 31, 2023
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$ 119	$ 81
Net investment income	84	81
Asset management fees	0	26
Net realized investment gains (losses)	8	(2)
Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	10	15
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities	(10)	(16)
Fair value gains (losses) on financial guaranty variable interest entities	(3)	(5)
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles	22	58
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(12)	20
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	26	(2)
Other income (loss)	1	27
Total revenues	245	283
Expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expenses (benefit)	(1)	4
Interest expense	23	21
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs	6	3
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	58	82
Other operating expenses	39	55
Total expenses	125	165
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees	120	118
Equity in Earnings (Losses) of Investees	24	2
Income (loss) before income taxes	144	120
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	31	23
Net income (loss)	113	97
Less: Noncontrolling interests	4	16
Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.	$ 109	$ 81
Earnings per share:
Basic (in dollars per share)	$ 1.94	$ 1.37
Diluted (in dollars per share)	$ 1.89	$ 1.34

AGO Balance Sheet

2024-03-31

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited) - USD ($) $ in Millions	Mar. 31, 2024	Dec. 31, 2023
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value, net of allowance for credit loss of $67 and $77 (amortized cost of $6,553 and $6,746)	$ 6,091	$ 6,307
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value	272	318
Short-term investments, at fair value	1,649	1,661
Other invested assets (includes $4 and $3, at fair value)	875	829
Total investments	8,887	9,115
Cash	115	97
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable	1,450	1,468
Deferred acquisition costs	164	161
Salvage and subrogation recoverable	295	298
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ assets (includes $167 and $174, at fair value)	167	328
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles (includes $353 and $331, at fair value)	377	366
Other assets (includes $123 and $123, at fair value)	713	706
Total assets	12,168	12,539
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve	3,612	3,658
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve	307	376
Long-term debt	1,695	1,694
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value	43	53
Financial guaranty variable interest entities’ liabilities, at fair value (with recourse $389 and $543, without recourse $10 and $11)	399	554
Other liabilities	430	439
Total liabilities	6,486	6,774
Commitments and contingencies (Notes 3, 7 and 11)
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares ($0.01 par value, 500,000,000 shares authorized; 55,081,584 and 56,217,305 shares issued and outstanding)	1	1
Retained earnings	6,014	6,070
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax of $(72) and $(67)	(387)	(359)
Deferred equity compensation	1	1
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.	5,629	5,713
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests (Note 8)	53	52
Total shareholders’ equity	5,682	5,765
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity	$ 12,168	$ 12,539

About Assured Guaranty Ltd

Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. Further, it insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Additionally, the company is involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, and financial products. Furthermore, it offers specialty insurance and reinsurance that include life and aircraft residual value insurance transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

CEO	Mr. Dominic John Frederico
WEBSITE	assuredguaranty.com
INDUSTRY	Insurance Property & Casualty
EMPLOYEES	411

Assured Guaranty Ltd Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ticker symbol for Assured Guaranty Ltd? What does AGO stand for in stocks?

AGO is the stock ticker symbol of Assured Guaranty Ltd. Every public company that trades on a stock exchange gets a ticker symbol.

What is the market capital of Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)?

As of Thu May 09 2024, market cap of Assured Guaranty Ltd is 4.36 Billion. The market capitalization is calculated by multiplying the stock price with the number of shares outstanding.

What is the fair value of AGO stock?

You can check AGO's fair value in chart for subscribers.

What is the fair value of AGO stock?

You can check AGO's fair value in chart for subscribers. The fair value of Assured Guaranty Ltd is provided for various growth and macro-economic scenarios from very pessimiatic to very optimistic assumptions. These fair values are estimates from Grufity's Fair Value model based on company's past performance. However, past performance of Assured Guaranty Ltd is no guarantee of future performance. These fairvalue estimates should only be used as one of the inputs in your stock analysis. We provide model's historical fair value estimates for AGO so that you know how good or bad the model has been in the past so you can discard it if needed. There are others that provide fair values of stocks such as wallmine, finbox, gurufocus and finviz. Most provide point in time estimates. We provide a history of our models fair value estimates so that you can get a sense of it's usefulness. Otherwise this data point is of little use.

Is Assured Guaranty Ltd a good stock to buy?

The fair value guage provides a quick view whether AGO is over valued or under valued. Whether Assured Guaranty Ltd is cheap or expensive depends on the assumptions which impact Assured Guaranty Ltd's fair value. We provide several scenarios of inflation and growth to encompass these range of assumptions for AGO.

What is Assured Guaranty Ltd's Price to Earnings (PE) and Price to sales (PS) ratio?

As of Thu May 09 2024, AGO's PE ratio (Price to Earnings) is 5.69 and Price to Sales (PS) ratio is 3.26. The price to earnings and price to sales ratio are two most important valuation metrics for any company. PE ratio tell us the number of years of earnings investors are ready to pay for owning the company. Historically, S&P500 price to earnings ratio has fallen below 12 during periods of gloom and gone past 30 during periods of euphoria. AGO PE ratio will change depending on the future growth rate expectations of investors.

What is 5 year return on Assured Guaranty Ltd's stock?

In the past 10 years, Assured Guaranty Ltd has provided 0.139 (multiply by 100 for percentage) rate of return.